Pak's hand twisted by Afghan card?

Here's a great article by K P Nayar on why Pakistan - which till Feb 10th was saying there was "insufficient" evidence on the Mumbai attacks - again flip-flopped and owned up that the attacks were indeed planned by the LeT.

Think about it - what happened in the two days for this major volte-face?
Now Kuldip Nayar - the journalist who poked A Q Khan in a stunning interview in 1987 into revealing that Pak had the A-bomb - has written an article on the arm twisting that the US did behind the scenes.

First, it was Richard Holbrooke - the no-nonsense envoy to Afghanistan & Pakistan - did some straight talking to soften up the Pak administration, essentially saying that India will be allowed to play fully in Afghanistan if Pakistan doesnt act.
And this was followed up by a stern phone call from Obama to Zardari to make sure it happens.

Now Pakistan admits it was planned on Pakistan soil by Pakistanis - something for which they fired their NSA.
Of course, there seems to be three Pak entities and remains to be seen who wins:-

• President Zardari - who wants to please the US and maybe even India
• PM Gilani - who britsles at the president taking decisions without his consent and who is frustrated that he doesnt have the real power
• Army / ISI - who want to just brush things under the carpet as has been done for 20 years

I predict that the PPP party (Zardari and Gilani) will be chucked out of office and the Army will again install the more "islamic" leaning Nawaz Sharif who is biding his time.
This could happen within the year as the lawlessness in Pak increases and the pressure on the government to crack down also goes up.
And if after the Lok Sabha elections, one party gets a good enough mandate - either the Congress or the BJP - to flex its muscles independent of the coalition partners, then its curtains for Pakistan's attempt at democracy.
2009 might be a watershed year for Pakistan.