Sunday, March 15, 2009

Pakistan storms closer to civil breakdown

Well, this state of affairs in Pakistan could have been predicted ever since General Musharraf dismissed the justices two years back. Whenever the balance of power is so blatantly abused, the ultimate result is disaster for the state.

The backlash eventually ate up Musharraf and looks like its going to eat Zardari too.

Nawaz Sharif has played a shrewd, waiting game so far. If one remembers, he joined forces with Zardari's PPP to ensure the general was pushed out.
But he didnt grab power at that time, knowing for a fact that the nation was heading for disaster.

So he let Zardari take the fall and now he can swoop into power if elections are held.
Who else will the populace turn towards. They are disgusted with the Army, the PPP is not the same as when Bhutto was there and hence the Sharifs are the only one left out.

The US I think will "engineer" this eventually, unless of course General Kayani fancies his chances with a coup. The analysts are saying that he wont do it due to the Army's "bad" image and will let the political process weaken his rivals before he makes any move.

So Nawaz Sharif holds the cards and if he plays them well now, he may emerge from this mess as the sole survivor. The wheel will turn full circle then and he may expel both Musharaff and Zardari.

Pakistan as a entity would survive, but will always be beset with basic problems till true democracy takes root.

Tuesday, March 3, 2009

Cricket must go on

As ICC chair David Morgan, puts cricket must go on, even in the face of the senseless attack on the Sri Lankan cricket team in Lahore, Pakistan.

Of course, there would be many "I told you so" comments and playing any international sports in Pakistan itself will be well nigh impossible now till the situation improves.
But Pakistan cricket and fans should not suffer and they should have neutral venues outside of the country to continue playing.

There will be recriminations, finger pointing, conspiracies etc after this, a-la the Mumbai attacks.
Who was behind this and what was their objective in attacking cricketers needs to be dug out.

But Pakistan has been shamed for sure... attacks on the sri lankan guests after the government had promised them utmost foolproof security means that the govt cannot be trusted. Add to that the confusion of banning the Sharif brothers means Pakistan will be in this abject condition for the rest of the year or atleast till fresh elections are called. Who knows, there might be a army coup before that and we will be back to square one. Time will tell.